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Expat wanderer

Drunk Nate Silver

My favorite statistitian is parodied on Twitter #Drunk Nate Silver. Don’t worry Nate, they’re just jealous 🙂  :

 

Twitter commandeered by ‘Drunk Nate Silver’

This story started on
By Dorrine Mendoza, CNN
updated 5:36 PM EST, Thu November 8, 2012 | Filed under: Social Media
Nate Silver is not really drunk on Twitter. But the man knows how to interpret polling data.
Nate Silver is not really drunk on Twitter. But the man knows how to interpret polling data.
STORY HIGHLIGHTS
  • Poll-cruncher Nate SIlver has inspired a parody hashtag on Twitter
  • Silver correctly predicted who would win all 50 states in Tuesday’s presidential election

(CNN) — You may not have heard of Nate Silver. But the statistician, who crunches political polls for The New York Times, is having a moment.

Silver has received a flood of acclaim since his blog,FiveThirtyEight.com, correctly predicted who would win all 50 states in Tuesday’s presidential election, even as pundits were saying the race was “too close to call.”

Named one of the 100 Most Influential People by Time magazine in 2009, Silver first gained fame for developing a statistical system for forecasting the performance of pro baseball players.

He’s really good at math. And predicting things.

Now the jokesters of Twitter are paying homage with a #DrunkNateSilver hashtag that re-imagines him as a belligerent, know-it-all prognosticator.

Here are some of our favorites:

If you cannot see the Storify below, click here.

  1. Drunk Nate Silver stumbles through traffic on the Jersey Turnpike, screaming out what time each driver will get home. #DrunkNateSilver
  2. HarrisonMooney
    #DrunkNateSilver goes to Africa, finds the butterfly, asks it not to flap its wings, prevents the hurricane.
  3. marksluckie
    #DrunkNateSilver knows the actual probability of Taylor Swift ever, ever getting back together.
  4. thisisdannyg
    @thisisdannyg Drunk Nate Silver knows why the caged bird sings. #DrunkNateSilver
  5. SayethSimon
    Drunk Nate Silver knows what you did next summer.#DrunkNateSilver
  6. NATESlLVER
    When Alexander Graham Bell invented the telephone, he discovered 3 missed calls from me.#DrunkNateSilver
  7. VitruvianMonkey
    #DrunkNateSilver stopped a robbery with cluster analysis.
  8. TheLincoln
    Drunk Nate Silver shouting at jukebox blasting Biggie, “No! Mo money only correlates with a 42% chance of mo problems!” #drunknatesilver
  9. DrunjNateSilver
    I knew Darth Vader was Luke’s father before he did.#drunknatesilver
  10. skairam
    #DrunkNateSilver knows precisely how many boys your milkshake will bring to the yard (spoiler: not all of them)
  11. cd_hooks
    Drunk Nate Silver in the parking lot of Yankees stadium, spray painting the spots where next years’ home runs will land. #drunknatesilver
  12. RodHughes
    #DrunkNateSilver launches his own economic recovery program: yells out next winning lottery numbers at area 7Eleven
  13. BurkeTribe
    #DrunkNateSilver predicted I would type this. And this.
  14. sleepingturtles
    Drunk Nate Silver knows when Ice Cube’s next good day will be. #DrunkNateSilver
  15. danielle_ivory
    Drunk Nate Silver only reads his Choose Your Own Adventure book one time. The correct way.#drunknatesilver
  16. loopdot
    #DrunkNateSilver already knows how much employee time was wasted today with #DrunkNateSilver tweets
  17. hulklibrarian
    Drunk Nate Silver gets home 30 seconds before the Comcast installer shows up #drunknatesilver

November 9, 2012 Posted by | Humor, Statistics | Leave a comment

Fairbanks, Alaska or Brazil

I would have loved to be able to actually watch and see when the actual 2 millionth visitor visited, but as it does, life got in the way. There were things that needed doing, people that needed time and attention, and I by the time I got back to check, I had already gone over.

Using StatCounter, I was able to go back 78 people and figure out that it was either the visitor from Brasil or a visitor from Fairbanks, Alaska.

A couple times, I have thought I would quit blogging, like when I hit 5 years, then six, or maybe when I hit 2 million hits . . . Now, I don’t know. There are times when it is hard to get inspired, hard to think of anything I might have to say that you might find interesting, too.

I have a little trick. When I am stumped, I think of our aqua aerobics group in Doha, Qatar. We weren’t very serious, but we were very committed. We had to show up because the others counted on us. Our motto was “any exercise is better than no exercise” and on very cold days in January, exercise counted as sitting in the hot tub and kicking. We talked to pass the time, and not to think about exercising. We talked about books we had read, dishes we had cooked, movies we have seen, and events in the news. So when I can’t think of anything much to say, I think about my friends, the Aqua Babes (LOL!) and I can usually come up with something.

A long time ago, in Kuwait, there was a blogger called (something) Red, I followed, and she thought about quitting and asked us to give her reasons why or why not. I remember writing that we blog because it’s what we do, we write because it is something in us that needs to be written. Until I wrote that to her, I didn’t even know that I thought that. I guess that is why I keep on, because there is something in me that needs to do what I am doing, and when I don’t need to do it, I will stop.

October 29, 2012 Posted by | Adventure, Blogging, Doha, Exercise, ExPat Life, Humor, Living Conditions, Statistics, Weather | 6 Comments

Summer in Seattle Comes to Pensacola

(LOL, not quite there yet)

Today is a gorgeous Seattle summer day, lows last night in the low 40’s, and high today MIGHT hit 60. It’s a great day for being outside, trimming back the rose bushes, taking cuttings for some new starts. It’s a great day for mulching, weeding, all those things I dread when the weather is hot and humid.

Only tiny drawback is the mosquitos; we have both nile fever and dengue to worry about with those pesky mosquitos, as well as other mosquito borne illnesses. I actually have a beautiful mosquito netting we bought in Bruges for when we lived in Germany, with our windows open all summer, but we have our windows open so seldom it is hardly worth it to put it up, and I think it annoys Adventureman having to get in and out of bed with the net, LOL!

We still have tomatoes and peppers and eggplants ripening, our pomegranates are ready, and our lemons are beginning to ripen – it is a great day to be alive.

October 29, 2012 Posted by | Arts & Handicrafts, Blogging, ExPat Life, Florida, Gardens, Living Conditions, Pensacola, Statistics | Leave a comment

2,000,000 Today?

I think I am going to receive my 2 millionth visitor today, but I need to go to water aerobics, I can’t just sit by my computer and watch!

October 29, 2012 Posted by | Blogging, Statistics | 2 Comments

First Winter Weather Coming

From Weather Underground:

AdventureMan will be pulling out his long underwear, LOL!

October 26, 2012 Posted by | Humor, Statistics, Weather | 2 Comments

Milestone 4,000

I have passed a major blogging milestone, and I am about to pass another. The last post, the biblical verses from the apocraphyl book Sirach, was post number 4,000.

One day, it looks like in the next two weeks, I will hit 2,000,000 visitors. 🙂

. . . . I still miss the Kuwait sunrises . . .

October 26, 2012 Posted by | Blogging, Kuwait, Statistics | 2 Comments

Eid Mubarak Statistic

In just half a day, I have a full day’s statistics, LOL, thanks to the Eid al Adha, the big Eid coming up this Friday, October 26th. In the six years I have managed this blog, I’ve sent out many Eid Mubarak messages, and now they are coming back to me, at least statistically:

October 24, 2012 Posted by | Eid, Statistics, Technical Issue | Leave a comment

The War We are Losing: Assault of American Servicewomen

Shocking, and sad. What can be worse than serving your country and to be assaulted by a member of your own team? To double that shock and betrayal, to have the team captains bury your injury for the sake of the team?? I thank God for the gals that are taking their cases to civil court and making a stink. Sometimes, that is what it takes to make people pay attention.

I have a friend, a friend in her sixties. She has served in Iraq and Afghanistan as a civilian, and she has had senior officers stalk and attack her. She is disgusted that senior leaders could feel so entitled, and so free from constraints.

I can’t print this whole article here, but it is fascinating. You can read the entire article from Huffpost: HERE.

Active-duty female personnel make up roughly 14.5 percent — or 207,308 members — of the more than 1.4 million Armed Forces, according to the Department of Defense.

One in three military women has been sexually assaulted, compared to one in six civilian women, according to Defense. According to calculations by The Huffington Post, a servicewoman was nearly 180 times more likely to have become a victim of military sexual assault (MSA) in the past year than to have died while deployed during the last 11 years of combat in Iraq and Afghanistan.

According to the most recent report by the Pentagon’s Sexual Assault Prevention and Response Office, 3,192 sexual assaults were reported out of an estimated 19,000 — roughly 52 a day — between Oct. 1, 2010, to Sept. 31, 2011. The department estimates that only roughly 14 percent of the assaults were reported. The majority of sexual assaults each year are committed against service members by service members, SAPRO reports. While MSA does not affect only women, the office characterizes the “vast majority” of victims as female junior enlists under the age of 25, and the “vast majority” of perpetrators as male, older (under the age of 35) and generally higher-ranking.

Last Tuesday, Defense Secretary Leon Panetta ordered a sweeping review of all initial military training across the services: Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps and Coast Guard. The move resulted in part from mounting pressure at Lackland Air Force Base in Texas, where at least 43 women have recently come forward as victims of sexual assault. Every aspect of training, from the selection of instructors who directly supervise trainees to the number of female instructors, is under consideration. And a day after Panetta issued the directives, Defense officials revealed that Jeffrey A. Sinclair — a brigadier general with five combat tours behind him — is facing possible courts martial on charges ranging from inappropriate relationships with female subordinates to forcible sodomy.

On Friday, Panetta called the military’s record on prosecuting MSA an “outrage.”

Panetta’s refrain for years has been heartening: “One sexual assault is too many.”

To which Havrilla responds, “This whole concept of ‘zero tolerance,’ it’s just words and no action.”

“You can’t leave. You can’t quit. You can’t walk away.”

We were in the military when the first women were sent to serve with formerly all-male battalions. There was a lot of controversy, and a lot of chagrin among the men. I think those first women were some of the bravest women ever. Almost forty years later, the battle is still being fought. Militaries attract the guys with high testosterone, the guys who don’t think the rules, laws and boundaries apply to them – and slowly, slowly, they have to be brought to understand that yes, the rules apply to them, and that forcible sex with another woman – or man – is OFF LIMITS. Bravo to those brave women who go public and create awareness and disgust for this problem. Evil whens men get away with this despicable crime.

It makes me sad that this story is out on a Saturday, when few people read the news. I am hoping you will take the time to go read this report.

October 6, 2012 Posted by | Counter-terrorism, Crime, Cultural, ExPat Life, Law and Order, Leadership, Living Conditions, Political Issues, Statistics, Women's Issues | 2 Comments

Blocked in Iran

I used to get such great comments from Iranian viewers, and now I get no visiters from Iran at all. Fahad told me my blog is banned in Iran. (Should I feel flattered?) You can check to see if your blog is banned in Iran at this website:

Banned in Iran

September 2, 2012 Posted by | Blogging, Iran, Statistics | 4 Comments

Hotel Stay? Where to Use Your Sanitizing Wipes

Found this morning in the Bottom Line Newsletter:

As a person who stays in hotels, it never occurred to me to wipe down the main light switch (DUH!) or the bedside light, or that the most bacteria filled objects of all would be the sponges and rags used to clean them. Oh UGH! I think carrying sanitizing wipes sounds like a really good idea!

The Four Dirtiest Surfaces in a Hotel Room

When you enter a hotel room, you already know that it’s probably teeming with germs from the many strangers who stayed there before you.

But, realistically, what are you going to do about it? Spend hours cleaning every corner? Cover yourself in plastic wrap? Not travel?

Well, there’s a new (and much more realistic) strategy that you can try, because a recent study has identified the areas in hotel rooms that have the most bacteria.
And they’re not all spots that you would commonly think to avoid or to wipe clean.
So instead of worrying or just feeling uncomfortable, I’m going to focus on sanitizing these few hot spots—and you can, too. It doesn’t take long (there are only four!).

FOUR GROSSEST AREAS
Researchers collected samples from various surfaces in three freshly cleaned hotel rooms in three different states (a total of nine rooms), and then, back at the lab, detected how many bacteria were on each surface by conducting something called aerobic plate counts. The higher the surface’s “count,” the more bacteria it contained. The top four dirtiest surfaces (outside of housekeepers’ cleaning equipment, the toilet, and the bathroom sink and floor—all of which scored over 117 “counts”) turned out to be:

Main light switch: 113
TV remote control: 68
Bedside lamp switch: 22
Telephone keypad: 20

Most items (including the toilet paper holder, mug, bathroom faucet, room door handle, shower floor and bathroom door handle) had relatively moderate amounts of bacteria, with scores between 4 and 11. The two cleanest surfaces, both of which scored only 0.5, were the bed headboard and the curtain rod.

Yuck! Some of these top hot spots, such as the remote control, don’t surprise me, but I never would have thought about the bedside lamp! This news is definitely going to make me rethink the way I always turn on the bedside lamp (without disinfecting it first) while reading before bed. I’m also stunned that the bathroom faucet, the shower floor and the two doorknobs weren’t higher on the list!

You might be wondering which types of bacteria were identified. Unfortunately, the aerobic plate counts measured only how many bacteria there were on the surfaces, not which kinds.

WILL YOU GET SICK?
When I called study coauthor Jay Neal, PhD, a food microbiologist and assistant professor at the Conrad N. Hilton College of Hotel and Restaurant Management within the University of Houston, he wasn’t overly concerned by the findings, because not all germs will make you sick. But exposure to any pathogens (germs that carry diseases) raises your risk for getting sick, especially if you are immunocompromised. For example, if you’re undergoing chemo…if you’re pregnant…or if you have HIV, you’re more susceptible to infection.

Of course, there’s no way to completely avoid germs, but, in my opinion, it doesn’t hurt to take the following basic precautions—whether you’re immunocompromised or not—to help reduce your risk of getting sick.

A TRAVELER’S BEST FRIEND: SANITIZING WIPES

While Dr. Neal does not believe that sanitizing wipes are necessary, I pack them whenever I travel. You, too, can slip a container of them into your suitcase to disinfect the bacteria-laden surfaces mentioned above the moment that you walk into your hotel room.

Don’t assume that a housekeeper cleaned those areas. Even if a housekeeper did, he or she likely wiped it down with a sponge or mop that was filled with bacteria. Of all the different surfaces that the researchers examined, sponges and mops were the most contaminated items of all!

And, of course, wash your hands when you’re in a hotel room as often as possible with soap and hot water (or use hand sanitizer)—especially before eating or touching your face.

Source(s): Jay Neal, PhD, assistant professor, Conrad N. Hilton College of Hotel and Restaurant Management, University of Houston. Researchers reported these findings at the June 2012 General Meeting of the American Society for Microbiology. Until the results are published in a peer-reviewed journal, they should be viewed as preliminary.

August 16, 2012 Posted by | Health Issues, Hygiene, Statistics, Tools, Travel | Leave a comment